I enjoy reading Paul Cousineau's posts over at DiaTribe.  This week he has a post explaining the importance of Grady Sizemore.  In the article, the claim is made that Grady returning to form is enough to make this a winning team. 
However, I don't think that the numbers support this.  Baseball Prospectus predicts Cleveland will win 74 games.  It also predicts Sizemore to have a 2.1 WARP.  Sizemore's best WARP was in '07 and was 6.3.  So, Sizemore returning to his best performance still only gains the team 4.2 wins.  This still leaves us 4 games short of winning season. 
According to BP, our problems are at 1B, 2B, 3B, and LF.  WARPs at those positions are -0.7, -0.1, 0.0 and 0.0.  Our starting rotation has a high WARP of 1.4 (Masterson) and a low of .4 (Carrasco). 
My point is that for us to be an above .500 team.  We will need Sizemore to return to the player he was and get a breakout from a couple of our young players.  I don't think that is beyond the real of possibility.  But I do think we are more than one player away right now.
 
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